Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +5 (51-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Sonnen * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Anthony James * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Deon Mitchell * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Seth Tuttle * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chip Rank | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Bohannon | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nate Buss | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Matt Morrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Pehl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dieng * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| R. Smith * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Siva * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 19 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Hancock | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Harrell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter