Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | +12.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers +9 (73-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Corey Stern | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Deonte' Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Basil Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierria Henry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 32 | - |
| Denzel Ingram * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Darion Clark * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Willie Clayton * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeMario Mayfield | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chris Braswell | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 28 | - |
| JT Thompson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Ivan Benkovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter