Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | +9.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers +9 (73-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | -13.1 |
| Matt Staff * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Joel Wright * | 24 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Reid Koenen * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +18.2 |
| Vonn Jones * | 18 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Phil Hawkins | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Corey Stern | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Darius Richardson | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Basil Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Nick Hinton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Deonte' Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Ray Dorsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +13.5 |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierria Henry * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 22 | +4.7 |
| Denzel Ingram * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Terrence Williams * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | -9.2 |
| Darion Clark * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -9.0 |
| Willie Clayton * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -15.3 |
| DeMario Mayfield | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Chris Braswell | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +4.6 |
| JT Thompson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +10.0 |
| Ivan Benkovic | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -12.6 |
* = starter