Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (89-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Williams * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Joe Coleman * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 25 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Elliott Eliason * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Mbakwe | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Julian Welch | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Walker | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter