Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thompson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| D. Stewart * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Lindsey * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Myles * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| J. Fortunat * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Valentine | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Z. Sadler | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Pereira | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Nwaniemeke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nd-Ezuma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Manuel * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 37 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| London Giles | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Dickerson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter