Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Biglow * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Paul Egwuonwu * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Flavien Davis * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Colbert * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamie Stewart * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| X. Blount | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Eric Norman | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Calen Coleman | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michael Dison | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danny Robison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake Brumwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 37 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Green * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cam Michael | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Max Yon | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Michael | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter