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2012-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -1.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -1 (82-83). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Vinales * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 29 38 -
Adonis Burbage * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 15 -
Matt Hunter * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 0 6 22 29 -
Malcolm McMillan * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 0 10 23 -
Joe Efese * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 4 2 10 22 -
Terrell Allen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 7 -
Brandon Peel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 0 2 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Morgan * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 7 0 0 5 13 23 -
Ryan Cook * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 1 20 33 -
Chase Plummer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 0 5 10 18 -
Brian Neller * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 12 13 -
Brett Roseboro * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 4 8 -
Adrian Satchell 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 10 18 -
Joey Getz 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 7 10 -
Malik Garner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 4 9 -
Jarrel Lane 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jamar Wertz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter