Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -14 (61-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jones * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| M. Knight * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| N. Hunter * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| B. Massey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Gallman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Cintron | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Sulton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| T. Knight | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Hammonds II | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 32 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Kasey Wilson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rod Days * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Horodyski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Karell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Coons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter