Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -14 (61-75). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Jones * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | +6.6 |
| Marcos Knight * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Neiko Hunter * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Bruce Massey * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +3.8 |
| James Gallman * | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Raymond Cintron | 30 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +5.5 |
| JT Sulton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4.6 |
| Tweety Knight | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Jason Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.9 |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Zane Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 39 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 25 | -1.4 |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Kasey Wilson * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Rod Days * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Daiquan Walker | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Staphon Blair | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Bobby Horodyski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Dylan Karell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Isaac Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Tyler Coons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter