Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Darrious Hamilton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 40 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Costello | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter