Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | -4.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -11 (76-87). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 34 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | +2.6 |
| Ryan Howley * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | +10.5 |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 29 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | +5.2 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Tyler Les | 18 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Josh Ritchart | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Darius Graham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Spencer Clayton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garrity * | 38 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | -6.3 |
| John Dickson * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -23.2 |
| Joe Eberhard * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Mikh McKinney * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -7.5 |
| Konner Veteto * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Jackson Carbajal | 20 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Joey Quigley | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +9.9 |
| Cody Dempsey | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Jordan Salley | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.1 |
* = starter