Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Powell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| K. McDougald * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| R. Powell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Haywood * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Dawson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Fleming | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Fritsch | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Graham | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Alderman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Marshall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter