Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | +12.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +10.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -6 (58-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Powell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | +5.2 |
| Keith McDougald * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | +4.7 |
| Russell Powell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Jarvis Haywood * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Javon Dawson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Kordario Fleming | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Dylan Fritsch | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Evin Graham | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Marcellous Bell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Tyler Alderman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.1 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | -7.5 |
| Dorrian Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Drew Wilson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | -10.5 |
| Christian Kirk * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -8.2 |
| Keith Pickens * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | -4.1 |
| Gavin Thurman | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Marcus Marshall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -11.5 |
| Michael Simpson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Tomie Aromona | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Nathan Scheer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Bruce Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter