Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +15 (82-67). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Matthews | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 30 | -6.7 |
| Desmond Wade | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -5.5 |
| Derek Needham | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Colin Nickerson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Amadou Sidibe | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | -0.9 |
| Maurice Barrow | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -6.4 |
| Josip Mikulic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.0 |
| Marcus Gilbert | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Justin Jenkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.6 |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 41 | +12.4 |
| Holden Greiner | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | +7.4 |
| Mackey McKnight | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Gabe Knutson | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 25 | +12.3 |
| Corey Schaefer | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Conroy Baltimore | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -5.4 |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.6 |
| Stefan Cvrkalj | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Devon Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Cory Goodman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Justin Goldsborough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.5 |
* = starter