Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Huddleston * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Foster * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 37 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Brown * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Giddings | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marvelle Harris | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Robert Upshaw | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Drake U'u | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter