Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Watson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Mullings * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Bandja Sy * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tshilidzi Nephawe * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | - |
| K.C. Ross-Miller * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terrel de Rouen | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sim Bhullar | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Aronis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Renaldo Dixon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Weary | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Green * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 37 | - |
| M. Jordan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Mason * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| J. Thomas * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Tanksley * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. McCall | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Gillette | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Lemmons | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Cline | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter