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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 85
@
UC Davis Aggies 82
2012-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% - ✗
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 ✗ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% - ✗

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Rogers * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 27 31 -
Michael Dunn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 2 11 -
Dewayne Russell * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 0 1 25 36 -
Gaellen Bewernick * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 3 2 5 15 -
Ephraim Ekanem * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 12 19 -
Blake Hamilton 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 1 2 8 11 -
Max Jacobsen 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 2 2 6 14 -
Jordyn Martin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Hawkins * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 1 30 38 -
Player #46690 * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 2 4 12 -
Ryan Sypkens * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 25 28 -
J.T. Adenrele * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 7 16 -
Josh Ritchart * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 4 13 -
Ryan Howley 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 10 18 -
Darius Graham 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 2 2 -
Tyler Les 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Player #61294 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -

* = starter