Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | -4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -12 (65-77). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 29 | +2.5 |
| Nino Johnson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | +12.8 |
| Nick Niemczyk * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +15.0 |
| A.J. Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +4.0 |
| Lucas Nutt * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Marland Smith | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | +5.8 |
| Corey Wilford | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 29 | +5.2 |
| Jacob Tolbert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -19.1 |
| Gee McGhee * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -7.1 |
| Drazen Zlovaric * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | -7.5 |
| Ronrico White * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Z. Mason * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | -12.5 |
| Farad Cobb | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Eric Robertson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -3.5 |
| Lance Stokes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Jared Bryant | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Martynas Bareika | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Sam Watson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
* = starter