Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +28 (69-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madarious Gibbs * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Ellington * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Omar Strong * | 22 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9 | - |
| Ray Penn | 37 | 3-16 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ethan Blackwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Alex Gauna * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 22 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter