Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Khari Price | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devon Scott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Sullivan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Price * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Josh Wallace | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Greene | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shareif Adamu | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter