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2012-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% -
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 20 24 -
V. Sanford * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 5 12 -
D. Oliver * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 12 16 -
J. Benson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
D. Pierre * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 7 11 -
J. Robinson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 3 12 17 -
M. Derenbecker 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 7 -
K. Price 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
D. Scott 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Gavrilovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Sullivan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 23 26 -
A. Payne * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 9 12 -
R. Chubb * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 11 17 -
S. Johnson * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 5 9 -
J. Price * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Johnson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 10 15 -
J. Wallace 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 3 3 -
B. Greene Jr. 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 4 -
S. Adamu 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 3 2 0 8 -
A. Dixon-Tatum 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 -
C.J. Holmes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter