Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | -9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -6.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -10 (63-73). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | +8.6 |
| Vee Sanford * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Devin Oliver * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -1.7 |
| Josh Benson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Jalen Robinson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Matt Derenbecker | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Khari Price | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Devon Scott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.2 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Sullivan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 26 | +5.8 |
| Allen Payne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Rob Chubb * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | +6.8 |
| Shaquille Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Jordan Price * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Noel Johnson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +1.1 |
| Josh Wallace | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Brian Greene Jr. | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -14.6 |
| Shareif Adamu | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -6.3 |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| C.J. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter