Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | -4.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | -11.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -16 (44-60). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Thames * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Jamaal Franklin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Chase Tapley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Deshawn Stephens * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| James Rahon | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Polee II | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Skylar Spencer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Marshall | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Carmichael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter