Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -16 (44-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 35 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Polee II | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Spencer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Downing * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Pickens * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| D. Wilson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| C. Kirk * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Marshall | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| N. Scheer | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Thurman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Marshall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Carmichael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Aromona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter