Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -9.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Russell * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Manuel * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| London Giles | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Uche Ofoegbu | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 29 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 21 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Corey Stern | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deonte' Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Basil Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter