Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.7% | 8.3% | -13.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peterson * | 55 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| T. Finn * | 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| M. Hooten * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Golden * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Washington * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Townsel | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| R. Worsham | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Downs | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Childs * | 50 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 37 | - |
| Myles Taylor * | 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Jeremy Washington * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Bobby Jones * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Omari Minor * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dee Oldham | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Mike Liabo | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tobias Dowdell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Khristian Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B.J. McLaughlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter