Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.2% | 4.8% | -16.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -15 (63-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| M. Paige * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 28 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. James | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| L. McDonald | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 13 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Caffey * | 38 | 5-21 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -2 | - |
| J. Ennis III * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| N. Shepherd * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Jennings * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Gulley * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Richardson | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Pappageorge | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Deng | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Djuma | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter