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Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -8.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Margin 71.6% 28.4% -10.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“

Actual: Long Beach State Beach -15 (63-78). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 33 8-17 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 0 4 18 6 -
Marcus Paige * 29 6-10 3-6 0-0 2 4 2 0 5 15 8 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 28 3-10 3-9 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 9 5 -
Dexter Strickland * 27 1-8 0-1 2-2 6 6 4 1 3 4 10 -
Desmond Hubert * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 0 5 -
Joel James 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 0 3 11 -
Leslie McDonald 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Brice Johnson 13 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 10 12 -
P.J. Hairston 13 4-12 3-7 3-4 4 1 1 0 0 14 8 -
J.P. Tokoto 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Jackson Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Luke Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Michael Caffey * 38 5-21 1-9 3-4 6 4 1 0 6 14 -2 -
James Ennis III * 37 8-16 0-4 2-3 8 2 1 4 2 18 15 -
Nick Shepherd * 29 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
Dan Jennings * 27 4-9 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 0 2 9 10 -
Kris Gulley * 22 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
Kyle Richardson 25 2-7 0-1 2-3 5 1 1 0 2 6 4 -
Peter Pappageorge 15 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
Deng Deng 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Gatete Djuma 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter