Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo McCloud | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Colin Beatty | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Travis Fulton | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sama Taku | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Khalil Kelley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Bock | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Rodrigo De Souza | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Gill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Trevin Harris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Foster | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Brown | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Allen Huddleston | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Marvelle Harris | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tanner Giddings | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Anderson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter