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Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% +16.8 โœ“ (13.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +13.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“

Actual: East Carolina Pirates +3 (76-73). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Drew Parker 32 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 6 10 +7.2
Trevis Simpson 30 6-16 4-8 3-3 4 1 0 0 2 19 6 -2.2
Kayel Locke 29 7-10 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 1 1 14 12 -3.7
Korey Van Dussen 27 6-7 4-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 18 13 +0.8
David Williams 21 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 3 1 3 8 10 -5.2
Derrell Armstrong 19 2-12 1-5 3-4 8 1 0 1 3 8 3 +7.4
Kelvin McNeil 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 +10.7
Taylor Hoffer 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.0
Nicholas Paulos 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -7.3
R.J. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.8

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Miguel Paul 35 7-12 3-5 7-8 6 3 3 0 2 24 22 -10.1
Maurice Kemp 33 4-9 0-1 8-10 10 4 0 2 2 16 21 -0.6
Marshall Guilmette 28 4-4 0-0 2-5 5 4 0 1 1 10 15 +16.1
Corvonn Gaines 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +8.9
Shamarr Bowden 20 1-5 0-3 0-1 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 +6.5
Paris Roberts-Campbell 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -15.5
Akeem Richmond 16 5-10 4-8 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 16 6 +12.6
Robert Sampson 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -15.4
Ty Armstrong 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 2 -18.5

* = starter