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2012-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 โœ— (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—

Actual: San Diego Toreros -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephan Hicks * 33 9-10 0-1 7-9 8 1 7 1 3 25 29 -
Josh Greene * 32 3-10 1-4 4-6 1 3 3 0 3 11 5 -
Stephen Maxwell * 26 4-10 0-0 6-6 7 1 1 0 6 14 7 -
Allan Guei * 23 1-8 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 4 -5 -
Tre Hale-Edmerson * 21 5-7 0-1 1-2 11 1 2 1 1 11 18 -
Brandon Perry 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Donovan Johnson 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Trevone Williams 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 -3 -
Landon Drew 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Morgan Tilford 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jordan Mitchell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christopher Anderson * 36 7-14 1-2 0-0 6 8 2 1 3 15 15 -
Johnny Dee * 30 5-11 3-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 4 16 5 -
Dennis Kramer * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 2 -1 -
Ken Rancifer * 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
Simi Fajemisin * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 0 3 -
Jito Kok 31 3-6 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 2 0 10 11 -
John Sinis 24 4-7 2-4 0-1 1 0 1 1 2 10 4 -
Mike Davis 21 2-4 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 7 4 -
Cameron Miles 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 5 -
Trey Guidry 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter