Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Unruh * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Barden * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tim Huskisson * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bryce Douvier | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Drake U'u | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Awich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter