Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Unruh * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Svihovec * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Barden * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Osborne * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Huskisson * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| E. Addo | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Garnica | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Douvier | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Keane | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eversley * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. O'Brien * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. U'u | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Odister | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Morgan | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Awich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter