Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | +10.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +3 (84-81). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Buckley * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Rian Pearson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nathan Boothe * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Reese Holliday | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Richard Wonnell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Josh Lemons | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Ewing | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Mathew | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Sonnen * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Deon Mitchell * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Matt Bohannon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Seth Tuttle * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Chip Rank | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Morrison | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Singleton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nate Buss | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter