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2012-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alasdair Fraser * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 2 4 1 21 41 -
Justin Edwards * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 3 0 3 2 12 -
Xavier Pollard * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 14 25 -
Mike Allison * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
Jon Mesghna * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
Leon Cooper 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 6 -
Zarko Valjarevic 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Till Gloger 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 5 -
Kilian Cato 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Stefan Micovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Phil Beans * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 0 19 31 -
Jordan Stevens * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 5 0 0 2 13 26 -
Dave Dudzinski * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 3 10 17 -
Malcolm Miller * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 2 5 13 -
Justin Burrell * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
Cullen Hamilton 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 4 13 -
Dee Goens 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
Taylor Abt 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 6 -

* = starter