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2012-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 โœ— (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javonte Maynor * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 23 26 -
Stephon Carter * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 12 18 -
Adam Young * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 12 22 -
Zach Lamb * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 8 -
Corey Hall * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Brandon Barnes 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 6 14 -
Tyrone White 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 2 4 -
Britton Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Mo Hughley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
Erik Kinney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Justin Omogun 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Eberhard * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 9 -
Mikh McKinney * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 4 23 30 -
Dylan Garrity * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 21 27 -
John Dickson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 15 23 -
Konner Veteto * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 10 -
Jackson Carbajal 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 10 15 -
Joey Quigley 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 9 13 -
Cody Demps 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Julian Demalleville 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Salley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter