Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray McCallum * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Doug Anderson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jason Calliste * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Nick Minnerath * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Boutte | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Ugochukwu Njoku | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine Lippert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Greene IV * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 29 | - |
| A. Garrett * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| C. Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| S. Pointer * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Sampson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Obekpa | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26 | - |
| D. Harrison | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 31 | - |
* = starter