Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kelly * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Seth Curry | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 32 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Julius Mays * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jon Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter