Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +30 (79-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Penn * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Omar Strong * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Dexter Ellington * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Blackwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Jared Swopshire * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Tre Demps | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Mike Turner | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chier Ajou | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Omar Jimenez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter