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2012-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Willis * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 9 15 -
Jordan Baker * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 7 8 -
Lorne Jackson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 10 14 -
Jett Raines * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
Stacy Davis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 7 13 13 -
Moriba De Freitas 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 6 14 -
Atif Russell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 8 -
Nikolas Skouen 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
Manny Ochenje 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Crabbe * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 33 41 -
Justin Cobbs * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 23 31 -
David Kravish * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 0 10 -
Brandon Smith * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
Richard Solomon * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 6 10 -
Tyrone Wallace 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
Rick Kreklow 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 3 12 -
Robert Thurman 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Christian Behrens 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
Bak Bak 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Kahlil Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jeff Powers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter