Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Rum * | 35 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Gaillard * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Britt * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 8-13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Terry Tarpey | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Fred Heldring | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tom Schalk | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julian Boatner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Marshall * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Sanders * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tavares Speaks * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Jourdan * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sommy Ogukwe * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| JR Coronado | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Smith | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Casey Roberts | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Chad Donley | 12 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Assinesi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter