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2012-11-12

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerron Granberry * 33 6-13 3-8 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 17 9 -
William Wilson * 31 0-0 0-0 1-2 9 5 1 0 2 1 14 -
Parker Smith * 28 4-11 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 12 2 -
Andy Diaz * 16 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 4 6 3 -
David Jeune * 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 0 0 -
Charles McRoy 28 3-6 2-4 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 10 10 -
Travis Wallace 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
Beau Beech 13 1-5 0-3 2-3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -
D. Daniels 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Ray Rodriguez 9 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Jackson * 34 5-12 2-4 2-2 6 6 2 1 2 14 15 -
Chris Crawford * 33 3-11 2-8 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 8 5 -
Tarik Black * 26 6-10 0-0 6-10 7 1 0 0 0 18 16 -
Adonis Thomas * 21 4-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Ferrakohn Hall * 14 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
Antonio Barton 31 4-9 2-5 1-3 4 4 0 0 2 11 8 -
Shaq Goodwin 21 1-5 0-0 6-6 7 2 3 1 2 8 14 -
D.J. Stephens 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 3 1 0 4 8 -
Stan Simpson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Damien Wilson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter