Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.9% | 4.1% | -17.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 39 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Green * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Max Yon | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cam Michael | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Marshall Harris * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Lawrence Miller * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 21 | - |
| C.J. Bray * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Matt Van Scyoc * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Quinton Marshall | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Ashton Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Elmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Janeil Jenkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter