Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Green * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Max Yon | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cam Michael | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ellis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| J. Herbeck * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Plomb * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Cox * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Springer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Ferguson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Gramling | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lenox | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Toomey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Stire | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter