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2012-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mesghna * 37 2-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
J. Edwards * 37 4-12 0-3 4-7 4 2 3 0 4 12 5 -
M. Allison * 34 5-9 0-0 7-9 11 0 1 1 3 17 18 -
A. Fraser * 34 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 5 2 2 -
X. Pollard * 24 4-14 0-3 2-2 4 2 4 0 2 10 4 -
S. Lawton 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
T. Gloger 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Z. Valjarevic 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Maldunas * 38 10-15 0-1 5-6 10 1 3 4 2 25 26 -
J. Golden * 36 5-8 2-4 1-2 5 2 3 0 1 13 14 -
A. Mitola * 34 4-12 1-7 3-4 3 2 0 0 4 12 1 -
J. Brooks * 25 1-4 0-2 4-4 9 1 2 0 2 6 12 -
K. Crescenzi * 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
T. Melville 19 0-3 0-1 5-6 0 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -
T. Carpenter 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
C. Boehm 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Gill 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. LaBove 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. McConnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. McDonnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter