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2012-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 78.7% 21.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.9% 26.1% - โœ—

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +7 (53-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris O'Brien * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 12 -
Jamal Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
Brian Bennett * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 10 20 -
Chris Eversley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 8 11 -
Dylan Royer * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Drake U'u 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Kyle Odister 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
Reese Morgan 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Zach Gordon 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 7 12 -
Joel Awich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyan Anderson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 13 18 -
Garlon Green * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 10 16 -
Amric Fields * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 16 18 -
Adrick McKinney * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 2 10 -
Jarvis Ray * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 7 15 -
N. Butler Lind 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 10 -
Connell Crossland 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 3 -
Devonta Abron 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 0 0 -
Clyde Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Thomas Montigel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter