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2012-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryson Johnson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 14 19 -
Cameron Ayers * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 18 26 -
Mike Muscala * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 4 14 22 -
Joe Willman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 9 20 -
Ryan Hill * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 10 -
Steven Kaspar 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Dom Hoffman 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Ben Brackney 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ronnie Johnson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 12 17 -
D.J. Byrd * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 12 17 -
Anthony Johnson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 9 2 0 0 8 24 -
Donnie Hale * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 15 19 -
Sandi Marcius * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
Rapheal Davis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Travis Carroll 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 3 -
A.J. Hammons 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 2 7 -
Jay Simpson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Jacob Lawson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
Dru Anthrop 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter