Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +5 (80-75). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Cook * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 38 | - |
| Aaron Morgan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Malik Garner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Joey Getz | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jarrel Lane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fran Dougherty * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Miles Jackson-Cartwright * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Steve Rennard * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tony Hicks * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Henry Brooks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Lucas-Perry | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Camryn Crocker | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darien Nelson-Henry | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Gunter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Simeon Esprit | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Louis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dau Jok | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter