Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabazz Napier * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 29 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Boatright * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Tyler Olander * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Omar Calhoun * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| R.J. Evans | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Enosch Wolf | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter