Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +20 (92-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 21 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Koehn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 33 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles | 25 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Greene | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Hightower | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Griffin | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Moore | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter