Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +15 (99-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devereaux Peters * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 21 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 21 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Monica Wright | 24 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameka Christon * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 28 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 24 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 21 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter