Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 19 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ann Wauters | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tina Thompson | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Prahalis * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 29 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 21 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Charde Houston | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter