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2012-09-22

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 โœ“ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jasmine Thomas * 32 4-12 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 12 3 -
Ashley Robinson * 30 2-9 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 2 1 4 6 -
Monique Currie * 30 5-14 0-1 5-6 5 4 1 0 4 15 7 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton * 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 4 4 8 11 -
Matee Ajavon * 21 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 0 1 -
Iziane Castro Marques 27 3-11 0-3 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 9 0 -
Natalie Novosel 16 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Shannon Bobbitt 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Epiphanny Prince * 27 1-4 1-2 9-10 4 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
Tamera Young * 24 4-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Swin Cash * 24 4-7 0-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 10 12 -
Carolyn Swords * 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 4 6 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Courtney Vandersloot 23 9-12 0-0 2-4 3 3 2 0 4 20 12 -
Le'coe Willingham 17 0-3 0-1 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Shay Murphy 17 2-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Ruth Riley 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Sonja Petrovic 15 3-8 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 2 2 10 5 -

* = starter