Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +19 (77-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 27 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 23 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
* = starter